Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 91021.497594 95994.748833 100963.172479 106295.782227 111853.742097 117472.308904 123577.922108
2025-02-02 83987.900472 91697.224200 99610.019559 108327.954602 117652.418071 127315.707134 138076.144723
2025-02-09 78317.759239 87887.249540 97920.794993 109203.097829 121513.482432 134515.345783 149262.815156
2025-02-16 73257.316335 84148.436286 95775.155091 109074.228605 123827.490130 139654.517324 157878.807904
2025-02-23 69553.626153 81538.604340 94534.993543 109621.633456 126597.094994 145051.419750 166573.078472
2025-03-02 66109.725646 78955.505231 93085.021443 109706.902311 128649.358324 149487.149707 174064.046732
2025-03-09 63884.984323 77586.354112 92850.659711 111022.019204 131965.257089 155245.644861 182976.436736
2025-03-16 60798.088709 75052.375709 91130.986428 110492.659998 133051.100809 158378.363425 188832.769890
2025-03-23 59284.352458 74258.208314 91336.141177 112111.270065 136548.962784 164227.279672 197783.545924
2025-03-30 57546.600608 73104.016668 91037.440639 113066.941740 139217.616941 169083.450264 205574.879935
2025-04-06 55565.138309 71566.520091 90204.355570 113316.929094 140996.378428 172862.400826 212089.788554
2025-04-13 53579.485082 69940.771532 89190.911372 113282.096988 142379.349924 176135.676196 217987.555311
2025-04-20 52757.683222 69733.880244 89895.496530 115341.766262 146316.910271 182505.887603 227667.684986
2025-04-27 51931.427700 69485.768437 90525.441814 117299.136351 150137.706043 188765.399439 237274.149122
2025-05-04 50627.280788 68586.032137 90310.464153 118185.609014 152635.976031 193436.191987 244995.159068
2025-05-11 48899.771910 67088.459205 89298.992470 118038.056585 153829.497576 196508.830312 250782.105207
2025-05-18 47621.622204 66117.340210 88903.264878 118619.293397 155892.903900 200622.936091 257835.785531
2025-05-25 46188.079115 64896.144264 88148.046371 118709.688569 157316.649289 203938.650843 263914.330213
2025-06-01 45428.728351 64523.205258 88445.726809 120111.149479 160368.039145 209256.799927 272471.489960
2025-06-08 43837.100851 63005.708082 87232.039389 119546.993592 160915.055724 211460.527055 277180.310797
2025-06-15 43318.318445 62891.283029 87812.852553 121271.821968 164354.992218 217266.460336 286382.570046
2025-06-22 42526.571340 62383.622621 87859.527194 122290.068074 166888.013156 221945.127525 294202.517185
2025-06-29 41459.206891 61470.849572 87346.659039 122556.406696 168441.473900 225388.906911 300485.573641